Greece vs England predictions: Three Lions can revive promotion hopes

Daniel Childs
Spotlight
  
Lee Carsley's England lost to Greece last month at Wembley with a revamped starting XI
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- England have won three of their last four matches
- The Three Lions have won seven of their 10 fixtures against Greece
- Recommended bet:
England to win

England have been playing catch up in Nations League Group B2 since last month’s 2-1 loss at home to Greece but they will have top spot in their sights when heading to Athens on matchday five.

Lee Carsley’s side require a victory to move level on points with their hosts, although they would need a two-goal margin of success to take over at the summit.

Greece have established control of the section by taking 12 points from four games and are hoping to win promotion to Nations League A for the first time.

England were relegated from League A after failing to win any of their six matches during their 2022-23 Nations League campaign, but they have had a strong year, reaching the Euro 2024 final, and will look to finish it with victories away to Greece and at home to Ireland over the next few days.

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Team news

Greece are missing Eyupspor winger Anastasios Chatzigiovanis, who has missed the last few weeks with an unspecified injury.

Olympiacos's 17-year-old midfielder Christos Mouzakitis has received his first senior call up.

England will be without Harry Maguire (calf) and John Stones (foot), who have not featured in the Premier League in recent weeks.

Eberechi Eze, Kobbie Mainoo (both thigh) and Adam Wharton (groin) are also unavailable.

Lee Carsley will be sweating on news over Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Anthony Gordon, who were all substituted by their clubs in the weekend fixtures due to injury.

The stats

Ivan Jovanovic's Greece have been in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches without conceding

Greece have won their last five matches, and have registered three 2-0 victories among that successful run of fixtures.

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Greece have won five of their last seven home games without conceding a goal.

England have scored at least two goals in five of their last six fixtures against Greece.

Four of England’s last six matches have featured at least three goals.

Both teams have scored in six of England’s last eight fixtures.

Prediction

Lee Carsley is nearing the end of his temporary spell as England manager and can make it four wins from five games by steering his charges to victory over Greece in Athens.

England fans are eagerly anticipating a new era under Thomas Tuchel, who has been tasked with building a team to qualify for and compete at a high level at the 2026 World Cup.

Three Lions players will be aware of the need to impress and should reach a higher level than was the case last month when they slumped to a shock 2-1 loss at home to an impressive Greek side.

Greece played a superb game at Wembley and thoroughly deserved the victory.

However, England have been strong on their travels, winning 2-0 against Ireland and 3-1 over Finland, and they can secure the three points they need to stay in promotion contention.

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EnglandGreeceUEFA Nations League B

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