Plymouth vs Leeds predictions: Whittaker's a Home banker
- Plymouth are unbeaten at home since October
- Leeds have won six of their last seven matches
- Recommended bet: Morgan Whittaker Anytime Goalscorer
Championship rivals Plymouth and Leeds meet in an FA Cup fourth-round replay on Tuesday after the teams drew 1-1 at Elland Road.
Plymouth, hard to beat at home, will fancy they can topple anyone at Home Park, and that includes high-fliers Leeds.
However, it is Leeds who are 3/5 with LiveScore Bet to emerge from the 650-mile round trip with a win, with Plymouth a 16/5 shot.
Team news
Adam Randall and Caleb Roberts will likely combine in Plymouth’s midfield engine room with first-choice duo Darko Gyabi and Adam Forshaw unavailable.
New Leeds signing Connor Roberts cannot play because he was not signed for the original tie. Pascal Struijk is still out.
Jamie Shackleton, who had been pencilled in for a start at right-back, is ill meaning fit-again Archie Gray should play.
Stuart Dallas and Dan James remain out and the likes of Jaidon Anthony and Joel Piroe could start with Daniel Farke likely to make changes.
The stats
Plymouth have lost only one of their last 11 matches and are unbeaten at home in nine.
Argyle have scored exactly three goals in seven of those nine matches.
Both teams had scored in nine straight Plymouth matches before Saturday’s 1-0 win at Swansea.
Morgan Whittaker bagged the winner at Swansea, his 17th goal of the season. He has scored in eight of his last 10 starts.
Home Park has witnessed a Championship-high 59 goals this season, an average of 4.2 goals per game.
Leeds are unbeaten in their last seven matches, winning six and drawing 1-1 at home to Plymouth.
Prediction
The odds suggest victory for Leeds and the Championship table, which reveals a 24-point gap between these sides, would add weight to that idea.
But, of course, there was nothing separating the teams at Elland Road 10 days ago where a 1-1 draw meant reconvening at Home Park.
And if we know anything about Home Park it is that Plymouth do well there – they have won eight of 14 home games and lost just three in front of their own fans – and that there are usually goals.
It is not in the make-up of either boss to go looking for tepid 0-0 draws so expect an open affair where Leeds dominate much of the ball but Argyle will carve out chances.
And if they do create openings then there is no one at this level more lethal at the moment than Whittaker, who has only failed to find the net in two of his last 10 matches.
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