Luton vs Arsenal predictions: Gunners can grind out win at Kenilworth Road

James Milton
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- Six of Luton's last seven matches have been goalless at half-time
- Three of Arsenal's four away league victories this season were by a 1-0 scoreline 
- Recommended bet: Arsenal Win and Under 3.5 Goals

Premier League clubs know they are in for a competitive contest at Kenilworth Road, where Luton have beaten Crystal Palace and drawn with Liverpool and Wolves this season.

The Hatters' three home defeats on their return to the top-flight have all been by a one-goal margin, against West Ham, Burnley and Tottenham, so Arsenal may have to work hard to claim three points on Tuesday.

The league leaders scored an 89th-minute winner at Brentford in their most recent away game before thumping Lens 6-0 in the Champions League and beating Wolves 2-1 at the Emirates Stadium on Saturday.

Team news

Luton wing-back Issa Kabore returned from concussion to play at Brentford on Saturday but centre-backs Tom Lockyer and Teden Mengi are injured.

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Forward Jacob Brown is pushing for a start after coming off the bench to score in the Hatters' last two games. Marvelous Nakamba and Alfie Doughty are likely to miss out and Arsenal loanee Albert Sambi Lokonga is ineligible.

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta could freshen up his starting line-up by recalling Kai Havertz and Eddie Nketiah, who made substitute appearances in the win over Wolves.

Ben White should replace right-back Takehiro Tomiyasu, who suffered a knock on Saturday. Fabio Vieira, Emile Smith Rowe, Thomas Partey and Jurrien Timber are sidelined.

The stats

Six of Luton's nine Premier League defeats this season have featured under 3.5 goals, while both teams have scored in eight of the Hatters' last 10 league games.

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Six of Luton's last seven matches have been goalless at half-time.

Three of Arsenal's four away league victories this season have come by 1-0 scorelines and both teams have scored in only one of the Gunners' six away matches this term.

Arsenal have conceded only one first-half goal – a penalty from Chelsea's Cole Palmer – in their last eight league matches.

Prediction

Luton stood firm until half-time before slipping to a 3-1 defeat at Brentford on Saturday and they will be aiming to frustrate Tuesday's visitors Arsenal.

The Gunners were 5-0 up at half-time against Lens in the Champions League and scored twice in the first 13 minutes of their weekend win over Wolves.

However, the Premier League leaders have been less fluent away from home this term, grinding out 1-0 wins at Crystal Palace, Everton and Brentford, where they needed a late goal from Kai Havertz to break the deadlock.

Arsenal won 4-0 away to Bournemouth at the end of September, helped by some charitable defending from the Cherries, but Luton have made life difficult for visitors to Kenilworth Road this term.

The Gunners have kept clean sheets in 14 of their 16 away league wins since the start of last season, but Luton's first six home games all ended with under 3.5 goals and they are unlikely to roll over on their own patch. 

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