Everton vs Newcastle predictions: Magpies look too strong for Toffees

Aaron Rogan
Spotlight
  
Despite a lengthy injury list Eddie Howe and Newcastle remain in excellent form.
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- Everton have lost five of their last six league meetings with Newcastle
- The Toffees have won one of their six meetings with teams in the top-half, losing four
- Recommended bet: Newcastle to win

Newcastle outclassed Manchester United at the weekend and they head to Goodison Park in midweek. The Magpies are hoping to make it four wins from five in the league, although Everton are fresh from a victory of their own.

The Toffees are making good progress against their points deduction as they chase survival, but their record against the league’s top sides is a concern going into this clash. 

Team news

Everton are sweating over the fitness of Dominic Calvert-Lewin, although it is hoped he will return in time. Amadou Onana is another injury doubt for this clash.

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Newcastle’s injury list is growing, with Nick Pope set for a long spell on the sidelines. Martin Dubravka is set to deputise in goal. 

Anthony Gordon is a doubt for the Magpies against his former side. Newcastle could have as many as 11 players ruled out for this trip. 

The stats

Newcastle ran out 4-1 winners at Goodison Park last season.

The Toffees have won just two of their last 12 home league games, losing eight times.

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The hosts have taken just four points from a possible 21 at home this season.

Everton have lost each of their encounters with teams in the top seven heading into the midweek fixtures.

Callum Wilson has scored eight times across his last eight Premier League away games.

The Toffees have scored just five times across their opening seven home league games.

Newcastle forward Callum Wilson has scored eight goals in his eight most recent Premier League away games.

Prediction

Everton won 1-0 at Nottingham Forest on Saturday to boost their survival hopes, but the Toffees have picked up four of their five Premier League wins this season on the road.

Goodison Park has been far from a fortress, with Everton suffering five defeats in seven at home this term. Dating back to last season, they’ve lost eight of their last 12 home league games. 

Newcastle are in the middle of an injury crisis, but they’ve beaten Arsenal, Chelsea and Manchester United across their last four league games. That run also brought them close to a victory at Paris St-Germain, so their injury issues shouldn’t be a big concern for this clash. 

With Everton losing every clash with the top seven so far, it’s hard to see them holding Newcastle at bay. The hosts home record doesn’t inspire much confidence, while the Toffees have lost five of their last six encounters with Newcastle. 

Newcastle may not produce quite as emphatic a victory as last season’s 4-1 win at Goodison, but at 5/4 for the victory they’re good value to take all three points. 

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