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Second Ashes Test predictions: Patient approach may continue to pay off for Australia
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Daniel Childs
Spotlight
Steve Smith's second-highest Test score of 215 was scored against England at Lord's
Steve Smith's second-highest Test score of 215 was scored against England at Lord's

- Australia have won six of the last 10 Ashes Tests at Lord's, losing just two
- Steve Smith's highest Test score abroad was the 215 he made at Lord's in 2015
- Recommended bet: Australia to win

England find themselves in a familiar position after losing the first Test in an Ashes series for the fourth consecutive occasion but they have no thoughts of taking a backward step at Lord's.

There was a clash of styles at Edgbaston with England's ultra-positive 'Bazball' approach contrasting sharply with the more orthodox style favoured by the Australians.

For long periods England seemed to be ahead in the game, but Australia came good when it mattered with Pat Cummins and Nathan Lyon delivering an unbroken 55-run partnership which secured a thrilling two-wicket success.

Both teams can take huge credit for producing such an enthralling spectacle over the best part of five days and it will be fascinating to see who emerges victorious in London.

Team news

England must make a decision on Moeen Ali, who struggled with a finger injury for large parts of the first Test.

Eighteen year-old leg spinner Rehan Ahmed has been called up as cover and stands by to make his second Test match appearance. 

There is the alternative possibility of an all seam attack, including paceman Mark Wood.

Australia could make a change to their pace attack with Mitchell Starc pushing for inclusion at Scott Boland's expense.

Boland finished the first Test with figures of two for 147 from just 26 overs.

The stats

Australia have won six of their last 10 Lord's Tests against England.

The Baggy Greens have won five of their last six Tests against England and have not lost since a 135-run defeat at The Oval in September 2019.

Steve Smith's highest three Test scores were all made against England, including a 215-run first innings contribution at Lord's in July 2015.

Usman Khawaja top-scored for Australia in the first Test with 206 runs, while Joe Root headed the England run-scoring charts with 164.

Prediction

Usman Khawaja played a key role in Australia's win in the first Test, topscoring in the match with 206 runs
Usman Khawaja played a key role in Australia's win in the first Test, topscoring in the match with 206 runs

Australia have not triumphed in an Ashes series in England since 2001 but they can move to the brink of ending that run by winning the second Test at Lord's.

Over the five days at Edgbaston, there was a lot of praise for England's style of play and criticism of the Australian approach.

But Australia overcame several setbacks — including the loss of an important toss — and demonstrated the necessary mental strength and skills to get over the line.

England could point to missed opportunities, including some sloppy moments in the field and a questionable second-innings decision to delay taking the second new ball when the match seemed to be within their grasp.

However, they had the substantial advantage of getting first crack on a flat wicket and were never quite able or willing to do what was necessary to bat Australia out of the game.

Winning an Ashes Test requires ruthlessness and there were too many occasions when English batters threw their wickets away.

Australia were more prepared to dig in and, if they get the chance to bat first on what is expected to be another batter-friendly surface, they are unlikely to waste it.

The Baggy Greens won in Birmingham despite their outstanding willow wielders, Smith and Marnus Labuschagne, making just 35 runs between them.

If either or both find form at Lord's it could be tough experience for Ben Stokes's side.

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